Nov 29, 2024
Crime rates in Canada growing faster than in the United States
https://www.fraserinstitute.org/commentary/crime-rates-canada-growing-faster-united-statesBy: Livio Di Matteo
Here in Canada, with our mantra of “Peace, order and good government,” we view our country as a peaceable kingdom marked by less crime than our American cousins with their declaration of “Life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness.” Much of our self-assurance is because, as noted in a new study published by the Fraser Institute, homicides rates (adjusted for population) have always been higher in the United States compared to Canada.
But while homicide rates in both countries declined from the 1990s until 2014, by 2022 (the latest year of available comparable data) both countries had higher homicide rates than they did in 2000. Here’s why. In Canada, from 2014 to 2022, the homicide rate per 100,000 population increased from 1.5 to 2.3—an increase of nearly 53 per cent. Over the same period, the U.S. homicide rate per 100,000 increased from 3.9 to 5.8—an increase of 49 per cent. So while Canadian homicide rates remain lower than in the U.S., the Canadian rate has increased at a higher rate since 2014.
Meanwhile, during that same nine-year period, the violent crime rate (murder, robbery, assault with a weapon, etc.) in the U.S. increased by 5 per cent compared to 44 per cent in Canada.
What about property crime?
Many Canadians might also be surprised to learn that from the late 1980s to 2008, Canadian property crime rates (burglary, theft, motor vehicle theft) were generally higher than in the U.S. Our rates fell below the U.S. for a brief period between 2008 and 2015 but have once again soared above U.S. rates. And while our property crime rates have increased, U.S. rates have continued to decline. Specifically, from 2014 to 2022, property crimes per 100,000 fell by 24 per cent in the U.S. while Canadian rates increased by 7 per cent.
Clearly, when it comes to crime, the current picture in Canada is not pretty. We’ve seen larger increases in violent crime and property crime rates than the U.S., a country synonymous in popular culture with violence and crime. These stats should challenge our notion that Canada has less crime than our southern neighbours.
Of course, there are always caveats to these comparisons given the regional differences both within and across the two countries. There are also issues with the comparability of crime rate data between the two countries due to the differing definitions of crimes and crime classifications (the study has sought to adjust for these differences). However, all things given, since 2014, Canadian crime rates have been increasing faster than American rates.
That alone should be food for thought, especially for policymakers tasked with understanding the reason for the increase and the best way to reverse these trends.
2024年11月29日
加拿大犯罪率增长速度超过美国
https://www.fraserinstitute.org/commentary/crime-rates-canada-growing-faster-united-states
作者：Livio Di Matteo
在加拿大，我们秉持“和平、秩序和良政”的理念，将自己的国家视为一个和平的王国，犯罪率远低于我们宣扬“生命、自由和追求幸福”的美国表亲。我们之所以如此自信，很大程度上是因为，正如弗雷泽研究所发布的一项新研究指出的那样，美国的凶杀案发生率（根据人口调整后）一直高于加拿大。
尽管两国的凶杀案发生率从20世纪90年代到2014年均有所下降，但到2022年（可获得可比数据的最新年份），两国的凶杀案发生率都高于2000年。原因如下。在加拿大，从2014年到2022年，每十万人的凶杀率从1.5上升到2.3，增幅近53%。同期，美国每十万人的凶杀率从3.9上升到5.8，增幅49%。因此，尽管加拿大的凶杀率仍然低于美国，但自2014年以来，加拿大的凶杀率上升幅度更大。
与此同时，在同一九年期间，美国的暴力犯罪率（谋杀、抢劫、持械袭击等）??上升了5%，而加拿大为44%。
暴力犯罪信息图
财产犯罪呢？
许多加拿大人或许会惊讶地发现，从20世纪80年代末到2008年，加拿大的财产犯罪率（入室盗窃、偷窃、机动车盗窃）普遍高于美国。在2008年至2015年期间，加拿大的犯罪率曾短暂低于美国，但之后又再次飙升至高于美国。尽管加拿大的财产犯罪率有所上升，但美国的犯罪率却持续下降。具体而言，从2014年到2022年，美国每十万人的财产犯罪率下降了24%，而加拿大的犯罪率却上升了7%。
财产犯罪信息图
显然，就犯罪而言，加拿大目前的状况不容乐观。暴力犯罪和财产犯罪率的增幅都超过了美国，而美国在流行文化中是暴力和犯罪的代名词。这些数据应该会挑战我们之前认为加拿大犯罪率低于我们南方邻国的观念。
当然，鉴于两国内部和跨地区的差异，这些比较总是存在一些需要注意的地方。由于对犯罪的定义和分类不同（本研究已努力调整这些差异），两国犯罪率数据的可比性也存在问题。然而，综合考虑所有因素，自2014年以来，加拿大犯罪率的增长速度一直快于美国。
仅凭这一点就值得深思，尤其是对于那些负责了解犯罪率上升原因以及扭转这一趋势的最佳方法的政策制定者而言。
Meanwhile, during that same nine-year period, the violent crime rate (murder, robbery, assault with a weapon, etc.) in the U.S. increased by 5 per cent compared to 44 per cent in Canada.
What about property crime?
Many Canadians might also be surprised to learn that from the late 1980s to 2008, Canadian property crime rates (burglary, theft, motor vehicle theft) were generally higher than in the U.S. Our rates fell below the U.S. for a brief period between 2008 and 2015 but have once again soared above U.S. rates. And while our property crime rates have increased, U.S. rates have continued to decline. Specifically, from 2014 to 2022, property crimes per 100,000 fell by 24 per cent in the U.S. while Canadian rates increased by 7 per cent.
Clearly, when it comes to crime, the current picture in Canada is not pretty. We’ve seen larger increases in violent crime and property crime rates than the U.S., a country synonymous in popular culture with violence and crime. These stats should challenge our notion that Canada has less crime than our southern neighbours.
Of course, there are always caveats to these comparisons given the regional differences both within and across the two countries. There are also issues with the comparability of crime rate data between the two countries due to the differing definitions of crimes and crime classifications (the study has sought to adjust for these differences). However, all things given, since 2014, Canadian crime rates have been increasing faster than American rates.
That alone should be food for thought, especially for policymakers tasked with understanding the reason for the increase and the best way to reverse these trends.
2024年11月29日
加拿大犯罪率增长速度超过美国
https://www.fraserinstitute.org/commentary/crime-rates-canada-growing-faster-united-states
作者：Livio Di Matteo
在加拿大，我们秉持“和平、秩序和良政”的理念，将自己的国家视为一个和平的王国，犯罪率远低于我们宣扬“生命、自由和追求幸福”的美国表亲。我们之所以如此自信，很大程度上是因为，正如弗雷泽研究所发布的一项新研究指出的那样，美国的凶杀案发生率（根据人口调整后）一直高于加拿大。
尽管两国的凶杀案发生率从20世纪90年代到2014年均有所下降，但到2022年（可获得可比数据的最新年份），两国的凶杀案发生率都高于2000年。原因如下。在加拿大，从2014年到2022年，每十万人的凶杀率从1.5上升到2.3，增幅近53%。同期，美国每十万人的凶杀率从3.9上升到5.8，增幅49%。因此，尽管加拿大的凶杀率仍然低于美国，但自2014年以来，加拿大的凶杀率上升幅度更大。
与此同时，在同一九年期间，美国的暴力犯罪率（谋杀、抢劫、持械袭击等）??上升了5%，而加拿大为44%。
暴力犯罪信息图
财产犯罪呢？
许多加拿大人或许会惊讶地发现，从20世纪80年代末到2008年，加拿大的财产犯罪率（入室盗窃、偷窃、机动车盗窃）普遍高于美国。在2008年至2015年期间，加拿大的犯罪率曾短暂低于美国，但之后又再次飙升至高于美国。尽管加拿大的财产犯罪率有所上升，但美国的犯罪率却持续下降。具体而言，从2014年到2022年，美国每十万人的财产犯罪率下降了24%，而加拿大的犯罪率却上升了7%。
财产犯罪信息图
显然，就犯罪而言，加拿大目前的状况不容乐观。暴力犯罪和财产犯罪率的增幅都超过了美国，而美国在流行文化中是暴力和犯罪的代名词。这些数据应该会挑战我们之前认为加拿大犯罪率低于我们南方邻国的观念。
当然，鉴于两国内部和跨地区的差异，这些比较总是存在一些需要注意的地方。由于对犯罪的定义和分类不同（本研究已努力调整这些差异），两国犯罪率数据的可比性也存在问题。然而，综合考虑所有因素，自2014年以来，加拿大犯罪率的增长速度一直快于美国。
仅凭这一点就值得深思，尤其是对于那些负责了解犯罪率上升原因以及扭转这一趋势的最佳方法的政策制定者而言。
