特朗普时代：权力向中国转移，新的全球规则迟迟未能出台
一项关于如何帮助非洲国家（世界上大多数最贫困人口的所在地）的新全球契约至关重要。
溢价
插图：比奈·辛哈
T N Ninan 2025年1月14日
随着唐纳德·特朗普再次就任美国总统，世界正处于一场重大变革之中。自二战以来，即使是最强大的国家也愿意限制国家主权，因为它们在很大程度上同意遵守全球规则并采取合作行动。这些规则涵盖了广泛的领域——不仅包括贸易和关税，还包括核武器、海洋法以及国家边界的神圣性。
这种情况的改变有两个原因。首先是中国的崛起以及随之而来的全球力量转移。中国是
谷歌人工智能
https://www.google.com/search?q=In+a+Trumpian+world%3A+Power+shift
在一个以“特朗普式”国际关系模式为主导的世界，其特点是“美国优先”政策和注重双边协议，全球权力向中国转移，可能会推迟新的国际规则和规范的建立。这是因为，在特朗普领导下，美国更加孤立，这为中国创造了空间来展现其影响力，并可能制定自己的标准，尤其是在科技和绿色能源等领域，而传统的西方主导的机构则难以适应。
以下是更详细的分析：
多边主义的侵蚀：
特朗普式的做法优先考虑双边协议而非多边合作，削弱了现有的国际秩序及其既定规则。
中国崛起为全球大国：
随着美国逐渐退出国际领导地位，中国越来越有能力填补这一空白，尤其是在其拥有技术或经济优势的领域，例如绿色技术。
中国对标准的影响：
中国在某些技术领域（例如绿色能源和人工智能）的主导地位，可能导致其使用受到中国标准的约束，从而有效地塑造全球格局。
新规则制定的难度：
由于美国专注于双边协议，而中国正在积极维护自身影响力，新的全球规则和规范的制定出现了延误，而这些规则和规范通常需要通过国际合作来制定。
对全球治理的影响：
这种转变可能导致国际体系更加碎片化和交易化，合作将由特定利益驱动，而非广泛的共同目标。
从本质上讲，“特朗普式”的做法，虽然可能旨在振兴美国，但可能会无意中加速中国在全球的崛起，并阻碍建立一个普遍认可的新全球秩序。
In a Trumpian world: Power shift to China delays new global rules
In a Trumpian world: Power shift to China delays new global rules
A new global compact on how to help African countries, home to most of the world's poorest, will be essential
T N Ninan Jan 14 2025
As Donald Trump assumes office again as US President, the world is caught amidst seminal change. Since World War II, even the most powerful countries were willing to limit national sovereignty, in that they agreed, for the most part, to abide by global rules and cooperative action. Such rules were framed on a wide range of subjects — not just trade and tariffs, but also nuclear arms, the law of the sea, and the sanctity of national borders.
This has changed for two reasons. The first is the rise of China, and the accompanying shift of global power. China is
Google AI
In a world shaped by a "Trumpian" approach to international relations, characterized by an "America First" policy and a focus on bilateral deals, the shift in global power towards China is likely to delay the establishment of new international rules and norms. This is because a more isolationist United States under Trump creates space for China to assert its influence and potentially set its own standards, particularly in areas like technology and green energy, while traditional Western-led institutions struggle to adapt.
Here's a more detailed look:
- Erosion of Multilateralism:A Trumpian approach, prioritizing bilateral agreements over multilateral cooperation, weakens the existing international order and its established rules.
- China's Rise as a Global Power:As the US retreats from international leadership, China is increasingly positioned to fill the void, particularly in areas where it holds a technological or economic advantage, like green technology.
- China's Influence on Standards:China's dominance in certain technologies, like green energy and AI, may lead to the adoption of Chinese standards governing their use, effectively shaping the global landscape.
- Difficulty in Establishing New Rules:With the US focused on bilateral deals and China asserting its own influence, there is a delay in forging new global rules and norms that would typically be shaped through international cooperation.
- Impact on Global Governance:This shift can lead to a more fragmented and transactional international system, where cooperation is driven by specific interests rather than broad, shared goals.
In essence, the "Trumpian" approach, while perhaps intended to revitalize the US, may inadvertently accelerate China's rise to global prominence and hinder the establishment of a new, universally agreed-upon global order.
