日圆、人民币暴跌 全亚洲压力大!资本外逃一触即发
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美国联准会(Fed)连续大升息,带动美元指数一路走强,本月再创20年新高。人民币从8月中下旬开始急贬,本月双双跌破7元大关。
日圆则在上周跌破145日圆大关创24年新低,随后官方进场干预,带动日圆急涨,但分析师相信这只能一时止住日圆跌势。
外媒彭博指出,亚洲2个最重要货币节节败退,整个亚洲市场可能重新出现金融危机时的压力水准。瑞穗银行主管Vishnu
Varathan警告,若货币跌幅加深,下一步将是亚洲金融危机。
报导指出,日圆和人民币暴跌,恐让整个亚洲一起陷入水深火热,海外基金可能将资金撤出整个亚洲市场,导致大规模资本外逃,引爆全面危机。
还有一种可能是,日圆和人民币重贬,可能触发亚洲货币竞贬陷入恶性循环,造成需求和消费者信心恶化。
星展驻新加坡首席经济学家Taimur
Baig指出,亚洲全是出口国,该区面临的最大威胁是外汇风险而非利率,1997年或1998年的情况可能重演。
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