美国通膨是否会触顶 今年秋天是关键!
文章来源: 经济日报 于
- 新闻取自各大新闻媒体,新闻内容并不代表本网立场!
克里夫兰联邦准备银行总裁梅斯特(Loretta
Mester)13日表示,美国通膨年增率须“连续几个月”都呈现缩小状态,才能安全得出通膨已经触顶的结论。
她说,如果数据并未显示问题改善,考虑在9月联准会(Fed)利率会议上,支持加快升息脚步。
梅斯特13日在一场货币政策论坛致词时表示:“通膨走高的风险仍然很大,特别是俄乌战争持续,加上中国大陆清零防疫政策会更扰乱供应链。”
她说:“我需要数个月的时间来看通膨数据是否连续几个月都稳定往下,然后才能够下结论说通膨已经触顶了。”
梅斯特指出,目前Fed在6月和7月开会时各升息0.5个百分点(2码)获得广泛支持,她也觉得适当。所以秋天才将会是关键时刻。届时才能判定物价涨势是否已由40年高点转弱,升息的速度须如何相应调整。
她表示,“如果在9月决策会议之前,每月的通膨数据提供有力证据支持通膨正在走低,那么升息的脚步可以变慢。若是通膨不见缓和,就可能需要加速升息。”“运气好的话,供应链乱象开始退散,劳动参与率继续增加。供应吃紧缓解,产品与劳动市场的供给能与需求取得更佳平衡。然而,我们不能依靠运气。”
美国联邦资金目标利率现在介于0.75%到1%,再经过两次升息之后,利率就会到达是要刺激成长、还是限制成长的区间。
梅斯特认为,届时决定利率的联邦公开市场操作委员会(FOMC)成员,开始会有下阶段的货币政策该怎么走的观点。
-->
`,
"script":[{"type":"text/javascript","src":"//widgets.outbrain.com/outbrain.js","async":"async"}]
}
, "gg_rightside": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[{"type":"text/javascript","src":"//widgets.outbrain.com/outbrain.js","async":"async"}]
}
, "gg_duturandom": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_square": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_topbanner": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_middlesquare": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_dutu": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_botline": {
"html":``,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_dututop": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_shipintop": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_inContent": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_shipinrandom": {
"html":``,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_sideSticky": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[]
}
, "gg_bottombanner": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[{"type":"text/javascript","src":"//widgets.outbrain.com/outbrain.js","async":"async"}]
}
, "gg_marquee": {
"html":`
`,
"script":[]
}
}
const adEnv={
"gg_header": {
"html":``,
"script":[{"type":"text/javascript","exec":` var googletag = googletag || {}; googletag.cmd = googletag.cmd || []; var pbjs = pbjs || {}; pbjs.que = pbjs.que || []; `},{"type":"text/javascript","src":"https://adncdnend.azureedge.net/adn-hb/adn.wnx2.js","async":""},{"type":"text/javascript","src":"https://adncdnend.azureedge.net/adn-video/WenxuecityPlayer.js","async":"async"}]
}
}
const wxcEnv = {
"base":{
"exe":[],
"src":[
{"src": "/news/js/recommendednews.js","defer":"true"},
{"src":"/js/wxcFunc.js","defer":"true"}
]
},
"func":{
"exe":[
//展示评论
'function showMoreComments(){let n = 4;for(let i=0;i
2){dom.hide();}}$("#showallcomment").show();$("#showlesscomment").hide();};hideComments();',
],
"src":[
//图片,搜索,QR code
{"src": "/news/js/view.js?v=05132024"},
//计数器
{"src":"//count.wenxuecity.com/service/count/script/do.php?type=news&id=11560251&n=0&out=jsval","defer":"true"},
]
}
}
function wxcCode(){
wxcEnv.base.exe.forEach(x=>{
let tag = buildAdcode(x);
document.head.append(tag);
})
wxcEnv.base.src.forEach(src => {
let tag = buildSrc(src)
document.head.append(tag);
});
wxcEnv.func.exe.forEach(x=>{
let tag = buildAdcode(x);
document.body.append(tag);
})
wxcEnv.func.src.forEach(src => {
let tag = buildSrc(src)
document.body.append(tag);
});
}
function adcode(){
let adkey = Object.keys(ads);
adkey.forEach(x=>{
let code = ads[x].html;
let div = document.getElementById(x);
if(div)div.innerHTML = code;
ads[x].script.forEach(s=>{
if(Object.keys(s).indexOf('src')===-1){
let tag = buildAdcode(s.exec);
document.body.append(tag);
}else{
let tag = buildSrc(s);
document.body.append(tag);
}
})
})
}
function baseCode(){
let baseKeys = Object.keys(adEnv);
baseKeys.forEach(x=>{
adEnv[x].script.forEach(s=>{
if(Object.keys(s).indexOf('src')===-1){
let tag = buildAdcode(s.exec);
document.head.append(tag);
}else{
let tag = buildSrc(s);
document.head.append(tag);
}
})
})
}
function buildAdcode(script){
let tag = document.createElement('script');
tag.innerHTML = script;
return tag;
}
function buildSrc(obj){
let keys = Object.keys(obj);
let tag = document.createElement("script");
keys.forEach(key=>{
tag.setAttribute(key, obj[key]);
})
return tag ;
}