十二(勿入)

笨狼 (2021-12-16 14:11:59) 评论 (0)
强世功|贸易与人权(上)——世界帝国与“美国行为的根源”|文化纵横网
强世功|贸易与人权(下)——世界帝国背景下的中美竞争|文化纵横网
【强世功】族群融合是新疆政策的最高目标,精神基础是儒家文化 - 儒家网
The Hot Peace Paradigm - Wang Jisi - CHINA US Focus
Where’s the Law in the Rules-based International Order of the Indo-Pacific? — U.S.-Asia Law Institute
 
 
 
 
彭帅出面说「从未说过被性侵」(新加坡早报),肯定是因为觉得被西方当成子弹,当枪使觉得不满。说被中国“做工作”,施压、要挟,都有可能,但她本人可能没预料到西方一下子把她当成向中国政府声讨的大旗,觉得被耍了。
中国网球女将彭帅现身上海城市越野滑雪赛 接受《联合早报》采访 | 早报
彭帅首度对外媒发声 称「从未说过被性侵」 | 德国之声 | DW | 20.12.2021
 
【西方媒体趣闻】
Canadian Editorial Boards Are Cheerleaders For War (readpassage.com)
MoA - When China Does Great Question Its Cost (moonofalabama.org)
The American Empire and its Media – Swiss Policy Research (swprs.org)
 
 
【世界离开美国行不行?】
The Myth of the Indispensable Nation – Foreign Policy
Paul Poast: "Is ???????? still seen as the "indispensable nation"? Sort of. To see why, let's compare the movies "Armageddon" (from 1998) and "Don't Look Up" (from 2021)"
 
 

The Beekeper

Ivan Nikolaevich Kramskoy - 140 artworks - Art Renewal Center

 

Beryl Cook OBE, British 1926-2008- ''The Bridge Party'', 1997

 

【种族主义是西方(白人)的核心价值】
The Deeper History of Empire and White Supremacy Behind Anti-Asian Racism (ucpress.edu)郑文浩(Moon-Ho Jung)
为何美国亚裔和黑人难以实现团结? - 纽约时报中文网
Opinion | What Does ‘White Freedom’ Really Mean? - The New York Times
亚裔华裔是如何成为“模范小族”的?
 
I Would Rather Be Born A Woman In China Than India - NOEMA (noemamag.com)
 
【华邮】
Omicron Means Parents Are Doing It All Again, Except Dead Inside (romper.com)
isi baehr-breen (its pronounced ‘izzy’) on Twitter: "The CDC’s own cowardly political waffling on this shit is going to allow republicans to forever say that COVID didn’t actually kill that many people. https://t.co/G9ujSAPbI3" / Twitter
BNO Newsroom on Twitter: "BREAKING: U.S. reports 1,459,005 new coronavirus cases as weekend backlogs are released" / Twitter
东进西退
Taibbi: A Tale Of Two Authoritarians
 
 
【 中国外交误国】
France’s Shifting Relations with China - War on the Rocks
The good news is that, despite the tensions of the past few months, there is more common ground between the United States and France than there may seem to be. France, like other European countries, has actually hardened its position on China in recent years. This is the result of China’s human rights abuses in Xinjiang; its antagonistic approach to diplomacy; and, for France in particular, its growing threat to maritime security across the Indo-Pacific
China’s olive branch to sanctioned German think tank ‘poorly timed’ | South China Morning Post
 
【台湾】
Japan, U.S. draw up plan for any Taiwan emergency - Kyodo | Reuters
Japan, U.S. draft operation plan for Taiwan contingency: sources (kyodonews.net)
西媒曾惊呼解放军模拟攻太,而他们自己:
Rising Threat From China Pushes U.S. and Japan to Deepen Military Cooperation - WSJ
如果大陆夺去东沙,台湾将毫无对策
Microsoft Word - TaiwanWargameReport_Formatted (1).docx (s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com)
解放军如何攻台
China's Special-Ops Forces Are Taiwan's Real Problem, Not Warships (businessinsider.com)
Meeting China's Military Challange: Collective Responses of U,S, Allies and Security Partners (nbr.org)
习近平签署中央军委2022年1号命令 向全军发布开训动员令 - 中国军网
Taiwan Stages Military Drills to Deter Chinese Aggression - WSJ
台湾厉害了
Taiwan’s global prominence grows in 2021 | East Asia Forum
印度在缅甸制造内战
In Myanmar's Chin state, a grassroots rebellion grows | Reuters
第一岛链
US eyes using Japan's submarines to 'choke' Chinese navy - Nikkei Asia
Japan, U.S. draw up plan for any Taiwan emergency -Kyodo | Reuters
Opinion | Biden’s efforts to build alliances against China are bearing fruit - The Washington Post
New wave of Asian defense pacts no magic template for countering China - Nikkei Asia
The policy gap in the Indo-Pacific - The Washington Post
Bigger Than A U.S. Navy AEGIS Cruiser: China Is Building More Type-055s - Naval News
 
台湾海军这么厉害?(特种部队)就几十人,没用
Inside Taiwan's brutal navy frogman bootcamp | Reuters
 
卡普兰把中俄称之为“倒退的帝国主义”,呵呵,一定要守住台湾
Russia, China and the Bid for Empire - WSJ
粉丝很多哦
行走的思想家:罗伯特·D.卡普兰 - 知乎
The Ideology Delusion | Foreign Affairs
(反驳)The Revenge of Ideology - War on the Rocks(没劲,播客)
The One-Sided War of Ideas With China (foreignpolicy.com)
(反驳)U.S.-China Competition Is an Ideological Battle Between Democracy and Authoritarianism (foreignpolicy.com)
America must rediscover human-rights realism | The Japan Times
反人道、人权和中俄帝国主义是一致的(新疆),卡普兰“选择性利用人权”眼睛都不眨,还承认美国盟友皆如此,不放权“人权”,但“闷声发大财”,中国揭穿、指出你们不能通吃,也是有理由的。卡普兰说美国要“利用”盟友没放弃人权这一立场,
 
Imagining the unimaginable: The U.S., China and war over Taiwan – Grid News
China’s hegemonic intent increasingly hard to deny - Asia Times
 
Beijing and Taipei are united – in their South China Sea claims | South China Morning Post
(反驳:Bill Hayton on Twitter: "More nonsense history of the South China Sea published by the South China Morning Post - this time written by the CEO of a private equity firm. I guess this is what corporate bosses have to do to gain favour from Beijing these days. Anyway, rebuttal... https://t.co/DLzISjT9ti" / Twitter
台湾耍诡计:半导体
Lithuania wins microchip windfall from Taiwan in China clash – POLITICO
 
 
【经济】
粮食紧缺
China hoards over half the world's grain, pushing up global prices - Nikkei Asia
唉,中国担心美国疫情,美国也担心中国疫情
 
其实
China-Australia trade booming despite political tensions - The Australian
没法脱钩
 
 
America’s Asia Strategy Has Reached a Dead End - Foreign Policy
Biden and Asia After One Year: Modest Progress, Ongoing Confusion (foreignpolicy.com)
Assessing the Biden Administration’s policy toward the Indo-Pacific — 9DASHLINE
 
半导体变化
陈经:英特尔涉疆声明背后的中美斗争逻辑 (guancha.cn)(英特尔撒野,但中国只能忍了)
Chip Shortage Creates New Power Players - The New York Times
Chipmakers' nightmare: Will shortages give way to a supply glut? - Nikkei Asia
SMIC Poses Policy Dilemma for Biden’s China Chip Crackdown - Bloomberg
China’s Share of Global Chip Sales Now Surpasses Taiwan's, Closing in on Europe's and Japan's - Semiconductor Industry Association (semiconductors.org)
 
China Plans Millions of Low-Cost Rental Homes in Common Prosperity Push - Bloomberg
 
How U.S. Businesses View China’s Growing Influence in Tech Standards - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
U.S.-China technology competition (brookings.edu)
China’s smallest firms failing at historic pace as 4.37 million close up shop and registrations plummet | South China Morning Post
Michael Pettis
Lower fees and taxes, easier credit, better infrastructure, and other supply-side measures can help private-sector businesses if their problem consists mainly of high costs, scarce or expensive credit, or other constraints on their abilities to serve burgeoning demand
 
任泽平:2021中国中小微企业经营现状研究_新浪财经
中小微企业的运行很依赖地方政府,但地方政府也不好过
林采宜:中国各地政府的债务地图_新浪财经
The Chinese state has long placed greater value on resilience over efficiency, which has dragged down its performance on metrics that economists care about, like return on assets
2021 letter | Dan Wang
The Local Government Squeeze - The Wire China(2021.10)
土地出售死循环
 
 
美国说是不在乎,但企业可不能视若无睹,美国近20000班航班被取消,是一个侧面,对经济是有影响的
【】China to remain renewable energy leader with strong capacity growth in 2022, despite subsidies phase-out | South China Morning Post
再生能源是中国和世界唯一共同认可的,不是“浪费”的基建投资
中国另外两个可以大幅投资而不必担心浪费的领域是医疗和教育,可惜这两个领域都不能只靠简单烧钱,都需要人才和规则(Institutions)
China’s Unpredictable, Heavy-Handed Governance Threatens Growth - WSJ
习近平有改革的决心,但是不是因为极端,尤其是在动用国家力量压制不同观点过度而毁了
战略咨询国内公司欧亚集团把中国
As Beijing Takes Control, Chinese Tech Companies Lose Jobs and Hope - The New York Times
 
Eurasia Group | Top Risks 2022
岸田作为自民党内著名鸽派宏池会(Kochikai)的领导,能不能维持宏池会对华务实的传统很难说,但他似乎表面上没有安倍那么凶
 
一是外贸规模再上新台阶。预计今年全年我国货物进出口有望达到6万亿美元,增长超过20%,也就是说,今年一年我们将跨越“两个万亿”美元的大关,第一贸易大国的地位更加巩固。与去年相比,进出口增量约1.3万亿美元,也就是相当于过去10年增量的总和。前三季度,出口和进口国际市场份额分别达到了15%和12.1%,再创历史新高。
区域协定给中国提供了巨大的影响力
既是增加对外的影响力(吸引、依赖),也可以给国内发展提供一个刺激
Tariffs on more than 65 per cent of China’s trade in goods with Asean, Australia and New Zealand are expected to immediately reach zero under the regional agreement
Ren expected on Thursday that the total value of China’s exports and imports would exceed US$6 trillion this year – up over 20 per cent from 2020 – further consolidating the country’s status as the world’s largest trader.
2021,结果2022年不好过
Imports and exports between China and the other 14 members of the RCEP totalled 10.96 trillion yuan (US$1.72 trillion) in the first 11 months of this year, accounting for 31 per cent of China’s total foreign trade value
没算港台
***************************
 
 
Figure 1. The recovery is relatively sluggish
美国今年相当强盛,但人民币更盛,不仅对美元,人民币对全世界货币都上升,大家看看中国的贸易顺差,看看外汇储备,都不知道顺差到哪去了,觉得中国玩猫腻,还是在操纵货币
 
Political map of Latin America (AFP/Gustavo IZUS)
 
英国真的能混
 
【对中国质疑的】
小微企业不行
 
 
【军备竞赛】
 
【百万】
美国在睡王“美国重新伟大”之后还是一点办法都没有,因为睡王一点也没准备,美国的测试能力还是(发达国家)几乎垫底的,美国人还以此为自豪,别看睡王这几天说什么
次,5样本、10样本混合检测
 
2022《金融时报》更新
 
 
“We didn’t see Delta coming. I think most scientists did not — upon whose advice and direction we have relied — didn’t see Delta coming.
“We didn’t see Omicron coming”
方舟子是损点,但是禁不住事实对不?
With No Way to Identify Omicron and Delta Patients, US Doctors Struggle With Treatment Decisions - The New York Times
 
疫苗有没有用了?借了种还感染,说明奥型毒株传染力强,但症状不重,说明疫苗在起作用,据专家解释,抵抗病毒一是靠抗体,疫苗随着事件药力大幅减弱,抗体数量尤其衰减得厉害,但第二重抵抗力,免疫细胞(T-cell),还相当强,这是防止重症的关键,因为这个原因,不能把中国疫苗简单否定,中国疫苗在防止重症上还是有效力的
 
 
【中(国)西(方)印(度)怎么看印度?】
我的选择,三个角度,没什么相关,
 
【对比】
 
【事无巨细?】
 
【不择手段】
 
【】
 
【新疆的种族灭绝和美国的反恐战】
新疆管制和美国反恐战在精神上有着惊人的相似,新疆远不如反恐战残酷,却被西方围剿
无聊:
 
 
【中国抗疫】
上海团队与北京团队已经完成了对中国的同源性与异源性第三针接种作用的第三方评估,研究结果已经与国际疫苗专家同行进行了充分沟通,完成国际同行评议后将会在新近正式公布,主要的研究证实,中国的第三针接种仍能保留对奥密克戎与德尔塔的中和作用,具备降低重症病例发生的潜力。中国后续的第三针疫苗优化接种策略在2021年将有望全面完成,与国际社会共同进入2022年。迎接世卫组织所说的对新冠病毒的全面控制,全球的民众将会迎接普通而平稳的生活
 
否定了?用辉瑞当加强针没什么用
 
 
 
 
英国人任大伟难以压抑对中国的蔑视、怨恨,而台湾作为西方民主盟友,则网开一面
 
反华讥讽
 
【口水战】
中国的苦衷:中国太乱,各种操作手太多、太坏
大纪元成了在美国搅浑水的主力之一
 
美国学生债
 
【杂】
 
 
 
德国,立陶宛
 
历史
 
At its peak, opium was the third-highest source of revenue for the British in India, after land and salt.
Opium Inc: How A Global Drug Trade Funded the British Empire, Thomas Manuel
 
 
西方怎么看新疆
唐志学(Joseph Torigian)
 
在重大风险、强大对手面前,总想过太平日子、不想斗争是不切实际的,得“软骨病”、患“恐惧症”是无济于事的。“善战者,立于不败之地,而不失敌之败也。”唯有主动迎战、坚决斗争才有生路出路,才能赢得尊严、求得发展,逃避退缩、妥协退让只会招致失败和屈辱,只能是死路一条。
 
 
 
 
【美国内乱】
As always, when you dig deeper, the origins of domestic and foreign policies are to be found in economic interests. An oft-used aphorism says that “all politics is local”. It would be more appropriate to say that “all politics is about money”.