争论过了,现在该静下心来,看看两位总统候选人的政策细节了吧。比如:
你知道川普支持PrivePrison吗?
你知道拜登反对DefundPolice吗?
你知道川普反对NetNeutrality吗?
你知道拜登反对Marijuana合法化吗?
你知道川普和拜登在健保问题上的立场几乎完全一致吗?
这些政策立场的细节,是我们投票前最应该考虑的。Setasidethedemonizationofeachcandidatebasedonvaguecorruptionsandtaxesru[
阅读全文]
凸子尘报:Leaks,Leaks,Leaks
HearingonSupremeJusticeAmyBarretthasfinisheditsthirdday.Forhowlongitwilllast?Tomorrowisanotherday.That’sit.Butthat’snotimportantthesedays.What’simportantaretheleaksorunclassifiedinformationonHunterBiden,HillaryClintonandBarackObama.Hereiswhatyouwanttoknow.
。。。
2020isayearofparadoxes
一切真理都曾是谣言
而很多谣言又像极了真理
地球发...[
阅读全文]
凸子尘报:川普对拜登,背书谁更多
PresidentTrumphasreceivedalotofendorsementsfromlawmakers,governmentofficials,publicandprivateorganizations.FormerVicePresidentBidentoo.Who’sthemostlyendorsedcandidate?Let’stakeacloserlook.Forsimplicity,wewilllooktheWikipediapagesthattitle“ListofDT(orJB)2020PresidentialCampaignEndorsements.”Wewillfollowtheorderasthearticles’tableofco...[
阅读全文]
In2016,HistoryprofessorAllanLichtman,aforeverdemocrat,madehimselfunpopularinpredictingDonaldTrumptowintheWhiteHouse.HeoriginallyreworkedamathematicalmodelthatpredictsearthquakestopredictAmericanpolitics.Since1984,hepredictedsuccessfullyeverygeneralelections.TrumpsentLichtmanaloveletterafterthe2016predictionwenttrue.TheTrumpsupportershavetoutedProf.Lichtmanasthestrongestacademicsupporttothepresiden...[
阅读全文]
凸子尘报:PresidentTrump,我们祝您早日康复!
PresidentTrumptestedpositive.Soon,thenewsbecameīnflammāte.Herelet’sjointheMartiansandunitethesolarsysteminwishingthepresidentaswiftandsolidrecoveryfromthevirus.GodBlessesAmerica!
。。。
2020isayearofparadoxes
一切真理都曾是谣言
而很多谣言又像极了真理
地球发生了太多大事
而全世界人还都困在家里
。。。
总统转正之后,还会有...[
阅读全文]
凸子尘报:外行看辩论,内行看什么
The2020Trump-Bidendebate1.0hasstirredupthenewsandpeoplealot.Whilereportsandopinionshailinwithpersonaltakesonhowbothcandidatesperform,thisdebateislesswatchablethancommendable.Nowadays,ifdebatesstillindicatesanything,itisthroughthedonationtrackers.
。。。
2020isayearofparadoxes
一切真理都曾是谣言
而很多谣言又像极了真理
地球发生了太多大事
而全世界人...[
阅读全文]
这个周末的消息出来。
Morethan800000Americanvotershavecastedtheirevotes.Sametimein2016,earlyvotersonlycountedaround10000.Weshallseeahistoricalvoterturnoutin2020.ThismeansthatTrumphaslost.
为什么我这么早就敢说川普输了呢?
因为earlyvoters(EV)大多是民主党选民。
EV越多,说明这年选举中投民主党票的选民就越多。
2008年,奥巴马对战麦凯恩,当时的EV是2004年的近两倍。
而现在数据来看,今年的EV...[
阅读全文]
Hewilllose.
Isaidthisfouryearsagowhenhewaselected.
ButIwishhebeforgiven,cosAmericaneedstoheal.
Wearedifferentbutnotfoes.Hecantakeadvantageofourdifferences.
Butwecannotlethimmakingusfoes.
Votehimout,andforgivehim.
Forgivehimsowecanonlymoveforward.
GodblessesAmerica.
[
阅读全文]
看图吧!
ThemorelikelywetakeinTrumpius,themorelikelywesuffercoronavirus.
Thisisthecorrelationclearly.Iamnotsayingsuchisacausality.
Youmayhaveyourowndigest.
[
阅读全文]
还认为民调没用的的朋友看过来。民调不是没用,是很有用。但是我们要学会怎么用。左图,是我在9月6日时判断的民调的变化趋势。右图,是截至9月20日的两周的真实变动。想学会怎么提前3-5个月预知大选结果的,请去看我9月6日的博客内容吧。817凸子尘报:B.L.M.,Covid-19和川普败选[
阅读全文]