A showdown with Russia and China is looming large. Most likely Russia will cave in first in the battlefield as early as in mid-2023. Then the domino effect will go to China's semiconductor chips bet and One Belt One Road gambles.
读读兰德公司的报告是怎么分析的吧：
Some analysts make the case that the war is heading toward an outcome that would benefit the United States and Ukraine. Ukraine had battlefield momentum as of December 2022 and could conceivably fight until it succeeds in pushing the Russian military out of the country.
Proponents of this view argue that the risks of Russian nuclear use or a war with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will remain manageable. Once it is forced out of Ukraine, a chastened Russia would have little choice but to leave its neighbor in peace—and even pay reparations for the damage it caused. However, studies of past conflicts and a close look at the course of this one suggest that this optimistic scenario is improbable.
