亮线老兄，感谢你分享Circle 经历。你说短期内能回到230以

上吗？今天炒完特斯拉后，

在这里听到circle到了250

来源: QinHwang 于 2025-07-18 20:17:57 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : 2431 (199 bytes)

本帖于 2025-07-18 20:18:48 时间, 由普通用户 QinHwang 编辑

过去一看, 已跌到昨天收盘价以下了，于是买了不大不小的一笔，接下来又大跌，不走运。

这是机构操纵的吗？短期内能回到230吗？

• 今天套利的散户太多，哈哈，我估计下星期到250没问题，不过只是我的想法。YMYD -BrightLine-

(0 bytes) (20 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:22:33

• 今天下午横盘224有20米的量但是没有下跌，肯定有庄家在买，不然不是跌4％，哈哈,YMYD -BrightLine-

(0 bytes) (8 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:30:41

• 20米进，为什么还会横盘？什么原理？ -QinHwang-

(0 bytes) (4 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:32:47

• 我说有将近20M的交易量，肯定有人买才没跌下去啊，这需要Billions -BrightLine-

(0 bytes) (12 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:36:22

• 明白了。 -QinHwang-

(0 bytes) (3 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:38:08

• 你是circle专家，我就长持了。 -QinHwang-

(0 bytes) (9 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:31:27

• 我250卖，224买回，哈哈，还是小心 -BrightLine-

(0 bytes) (8 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:37:37

• 谢谢亮线吉言！今天砸得太快没舍得出，但愿下周有机会。 -LaoxiangPAPA-

(0 bytes) (8 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:33:21

• 你也套住了？我估计被套的不少。 -QinHwang-

(0 bytes) (5 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:35:59

• 都是千百度卖的，哈哈 -BrightLine-

(0 bytes) (7 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:53:01

• 得向她讨债：） -QinHwang-

(0 bytes) (3 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:55:32

• 我只是沧海一栗，LOL -云起千百度-

(0 bytes) (3 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 21:14:11

• 是啊，一大早在上冲前最低点234.6抢了一把，冲高回落太快又舍不得，跌跌不停到了224一下。 -LaoxiangPAPA-

(0 bytes) (5 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:49:37

• Sell on the news. News 是昨晚出来的，高点是今天上午10:15 -gladys-

(0 bytes) (9 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:22:53

• 看到CIRCLE，上市两个多星期涨到九倍，那么短的时间里有什么基本面的改变吗？难道CIRCLE在两个多星期前打9折上市？ -Rose03-

(54 bytes) (111 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:38:10

• 不管这个。能踩对点就行。 -QinHwang-

(0 bytes) (12 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 20:58:04

• 哦，祝你好运，：） -Rose03-

(0 bytes) (5 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 21:07:47

• 炒期货不容易啊！这个博主5年了还没稳定盈利 - 伯克希尔哈萨维 - ♂

(367 bytes) (350 reads) 07/18/2025 22:50:26

https://youtube.com/@hamalife3728

从2020开始，每天都记录

50万实盘，现在只剩27万。。。

看上去是南加州的老股民，这里不是有很多南加州的股神么？

• 分母而已。凡是玩短炒不长持的，成为分母的可能性远大于分子。因为是零和游戏，本版各种期货大师们赢的钱就是他们亏的。 - lanyin0314 - ♂

(126 bytes) (15 reads) 07/18/2025 23:32:45

• 还是得快进快出，不能扛单。扛着扛着就爆仓出局了。这个博主5年还在，终有一天会发迹。 - 伯克希尔哈萨维 - ♂

(0 bytes) (3 reads) 07/18/2025 23:39:21

• 关于长持与短炒的操作 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(154 bytes) (21 reads) 07/19/2025 03:41:03

其实短炒得暴利当然就是短炒。但是很多人短炒不成功，就变成长持了。没有办法唯有时间可以治愈你的失败

• 短炒失败也得看原因。如果大方向错了那就得斩仓。如果是波动所致没有买到低点则

长持正确。 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (1 reads) 07/19/2025 03:46:54

• 反正短炒一是牛股尽可能低买，而短炒失手则应斩仓或者长持或者加仓。逐渐加仓可以

解决没有买到低位而失利的问题。 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (0 reads) 07/19/2025 03:56:59

• 短炒是绝对不能全仓的因为常常要不断逐渐加仓得到低入。但是长投则全仓正确。 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (2 reads) 07/19/2025 04:06:33

• 全仓操作决定了长持性质，收益波动是正常的。时间长的话获利机会很多很多。

短炒开始则应轻仓进而逐步加仓。 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (0 reads) 07/19/2025 04:12:23

此外短炒一般选择波动极大的股。这种股经常会跌至不可思议的低点。耐心等待这个低点进入进而获得大利是必须的

短炒的思路，昨天周五大部分热门股均跌跌不休，唯有平时不怎么升的TSLL大涨。而前天周四它是大跌的！因此短炒选择时机应该在周四收盘前入或者盘后入。周五则有望获利益。事实如此。

此例说明短炒的选股选入时机都应该三思而后行行的。• 买在无人问津时 -乐山乐水的小姑娘- ♀

(0 bytes) (107 reads) 07/18/2025 postreply 17:41:00; buy at IV low?

• 有没有其他想法？这可是很多人炒股面对的问题 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (1 reads) 07/19/2025 04:01:16

（AI 说）股市估值过高时的应对策略

来源: richardman 于 2025-07-19 04:06:23 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : 55 (16219 bytes)

If the stock market is overheated, meaning stock prices are likely inflated, it's crucial to remain calm and avoid panic selling. Instead, focus on diversifying your portfolio, rebalancing, and adjusting your investment strategy based on your risk tolerance. Consider adding defensive assets like bonds and cash to your portfolio and reevaluating your asset allocation.

Here's a more detailed look at what to do:

1. Don't Panic and Sell Everything:

Avoid impulsive decisions:

When the market is frothy, it's tempting to sell everything and move to cash. However, this can lock in losses and miss potential future gains.
Consider the long term:

Remember that markets fluctuate, and long-term investors should focus on the overall health of the economy and their individual investment goals.

2. Diversify Your Portfolio:

Reduce risk:

Diversification across different asset classes (stocks, bonds, real estate, etc.) can help mitigate losses during a market downturn.
International exposure:

Consider adding international stocks to your portfolio for further diversification.
Defensive assets:

Include bonds and cash, which tend to perform better during economic uncertainty.

3. Rebalance Your Portfolio:

Maintain your target allocation:

Rebalancing involves selling assets that have become overweighted and buying those that have become underweighted to return to your desired asset allocation.
Reduce exposure to overvalued sectors:

If certain sectors are particularly overheated, you may want to reduce your exposure to them during rebalancing.

4. Adjust Your Investment Strategy:

Consider your risk tolerance:

If you're feeling uncomfortable with the market's volatility, it might be time to re-evaluate your risk tolerance and adjust your portfolio accordingly.
Seek professional advice:

A financial advisor can help you assess your situation and make informed decisions about your investments.
Consider defensive assets:

If you're nearing retirement or need access to your funds soon, consider increasing your allocation to more conservative investments like bonds or cash.

5. Be Mindful of Leverage:

Avoid margin: Do not use leverage (borrowing money to invest) during an overheated market, as it can magnify losses.

6. Consider Long-Term Opportunities:

Buying opportunities:

When the market corrects, it can create buying opportunities for undervalued stocks.
Dollar-cost averaging:

If you're contributing to a retirement account, keep investing as usual, as you'll be buying more shares at lower prices.

By taking a measured approach and focusing on diversification, rebalancing, and adjusting your investment strategy, you can navigate the potential challenges of an overheated stock market.

• 这个星期下个星期布局买一些美国油股,要跟着国际局势变动. 搞一个石油股波动都可以吗 - 金9金 - ♂

(0 bytes) (326 reads) 07/18/2025 22:14:52

• 闻到中东地区战火的硝烟了？前几天不是以色列轰炸，叙利亚总统府么？ - zhoufang - ♂

(0 bytes) (6 reads) 07/18/2025 23:02:35

• 加州要维修炼油厂, 中东打起来,50天后不许买俄罗斯石油,要帮美国石油捞一笔吃几年的. 也要加粮食股年底明年看怎样. - 金9金 - ♂

(0 bytes) (15 reads) 07/18/2025 23:31:29

今天Shiller PE（几乎）到了2021年的最高点

来源: richardman 于 2025-07-19 04:29:40 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : 12 (78 bytes)

本帖于 2025-07-19 04:33:38 时间, 由普通用户 richardman 编辑

回答: （AI 说）股市估值过高时的应对策略由 richardman 于 2025-07-19 04:26:41

2021年11月到2022年9月，大半年时间，SPY 毛估估跌了23%

• Shiller ratio highest in November 1999 - cutepp - ♀

(283 bytes) (470 reads) 07/19/2025 05:18:55

• 高吗？还远远末到高位50-55。 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (0 reads) 07/19/2025 07:17:53

• 妹妹呢你大胆地向钱走，哈 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (1 reads) 07/19/2025 07:19:34

• 须知这是人工智能时代是稳定币比特币时代，是大赌场老板床爷时代，钱财的大大的哟稀 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (2 reads) 07/19/2025 07:23:25

• 讲究的是人有多大胆装钱的缸就得有多大！ - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (2 reads) 07/19/2025 07:26:02

• 大千里，大牛小牛病牛弱牛众多！但是疯牛只俺一头。哈哈 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (14 reads) 07/19/2025 07:32:51

• 俺以前搞全仓。现在俺开搞全仓加三剩加期权。炒股钱杠（缸）没极限。 - GuestNewBoy - ♂

(0 bytes) (1 reads) 07/19/2025 07:37:05

circle到了250 来源: QinHwang

亮线老兄，感谢你分享Circle 经历。你说短期内能回到230以

上吗？今天炒完特斯拉后，

在这里听到circle到了250

（AI 说）股市估值过高时的应对策略

今天Shiller PE（几乎）到了2021年的最高点

今日热点

一周热点

circle到了250 来源: QinHwang

亮线老兄，感谢你分享Circle 经历。你说短期内能回到230以

上吗？今天炒完特斯拉后，

在这里听到circle到了250

（AI 说）股市估值过高时的应对策略

今天Shiller PE（几乎） 到了2021年的最高点

今日热点

一周热点

今天Shiller PE（几乎）到了2021年的最高点