章家敦:一迹象表明中国已绝望,局势危急
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9月12日,中国人民银行开展了600亿元逆回购,当日无逆回购到期,实现净投放600亿元。央行放水引起外界关注。
“中国崩溃论”鼻祖章家敦(Gordon G.
Chang)9月17日在转发一条有关中国人民银行放水的推文的同时评价称,“以这个速度印钞表明中国很绝望,局势危急” 。
章家敦所转发内容为中国媒体纷纷报道的“自9月12日央行重启逆回购操作之后,连续3天净投放3,300亿元(1人民币约合0.15美元),再加上今天的2,650亿元,6天累计净投放达5,950亿元”。
按照时间表,美联储将在9月26日加息25个基点。而在美联储公布加息前,中国央行再次通过中期借贷便利(MLF)放水,是不是意味着央行不再跟随美联储加息了?
据粗略统计,对于美联储9月加息后,近八成国内分析师认为中国央行很可能不会跟随美联储加息,且有六成分析师认为,有可能在9月或10月降准一次。
与此同时,美国国总统特朗普(Donald Trump)17日傍晚下令美国贸易代表对另外2,000亿美元的中国产品加征关税。
美国之音称,这将是美中贸易战的严重升级。《金融时报》指出,中美贸易战终将影响中国道路。
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